Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.159764 0.182042 0.206761 0.236300 0.270740 0.309749 0.357450
2026-01-25 0.124083 0.153510 0.189375 0.236650 0.297837 0.375053 0.480975
2026-02-01 0.102759 0.134891 0.176821 0.236272 0.319570 0.433898 0.605779
2026-02-08 0.087702 0.120579 0.165852 0.233900 0.335602 0.485246 0.728348
2026-02-15 0.076434 0.109196 0.156383 0.230895 0.348592 0.532577 0.852716
2026-02-22 0.069755 0.103175 0.153317 0.236181 0.374002 0.602136 1.026179
2026-03-01 0.062378 0.095000 0.145668 0.232719 0.384109 0.647574 1.166864
2026-03-08 0.057023 0.089229 0.140888 0.232944 0.399964 0.704948 1.341387
2026-03-15 0.052419 0.084077 0.136376 0.232773 0.414714 0.762346 1.528454
2026-03-22 0.049370 0.081119 0.135112 0.238010 0.440030 0.844079 1.785573
2026-03-29 0.046414 0.077973 0.133095 0.241459 0.462228 0.923325 2.056845
2026-04-05 0.043738 0.075020 0.131046 0.244476 0.483869 1.005185 2.355509
2026-04-12 0.041661 0.072988 0.130560 0.250712 0.513785 1.112376 2.751605
2026-04-19 0.039106 0.069829 0.127613 0.251578 0.532278 1.197388 3.116102
2026-04-26 0.036682 0.066675 0.124326 0.251263 0.548019 1.279036 3.497179
2026-05-03 0.034273 0.063319 0.120276 0.248736 0.558122 1.348587 3.865121
2026-05-10 0.032035 0.060095 0.116161 0.245516 0.565998 1.413982 4.242355
2026-05-17 0.030834 0.058833 0.115965 0.251186 0.597104 1.549696 4.902598
2026-05-24 0.028910 0.055924 0.111989 0.247472 0.603276 1.615972 5.344373
2026-05-31 0.027480 0.053921 0.109774 0.247714 0.620116 1.717824 5.958960
2026-06-07 0.026132 0.051978 0.107503 0.247530 0.635801 1.820011 6.618149
2026-06-14 0.025313 0.051099 0.107530 0.253148 0.669027 1.986636 7.619560
2026-06-21 0.024410 0.049960 0.106848 0.256849 0.697378 2.144654 8.660855